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Thursday, January 8, 2015

Bowles & Foles???

I hate the big crazy trade scenario ideas that always float around on sports forums and message boards. BUT, this is a very interesting offseason coming up. It looks like we may end up with another defensive minded HC. Quinn and Bowles are front runners, and we sure could do much worse than either one of them. That being said, I can't see us developing another rookie.

I wouldn't touch Winston with a 10' pole, and Mariota is not a plug and play, day one starter for any team besides Philly. Because of his upside I would take him with the #6 pick even though he needs to sit at least 6-8 games his rookie season. But he won't drop to 6 and I can't see giving away what we would need to in order to move up to #1 for this QB.

I think a 3 way trade could seriously work. But there are some variables. First the trade:
  • Jets give up #6 overall pick for Nick Foles from Philly.
  • Philly gives up #6 and #20 to Tampa to move up to #1 and take Mariota.
  • Tampa takes Hundley or Winston.
The obvious variables start with Philly. How much has Kelly set his heart on Mariota? The Eagles have a pretty damn talented squad and they missed the playoffs this year. Foles and Sanchez are smart capable QB's and they couldn't get it done. This is not a system that you can just throw any QB into and win at a high level in the NFL. You need the right guy and Mariota has over 40 games under his belt and is taylor made for Kelly and his offense. But does Kelly believe he needs Mariota and does he have the balls to make a huge move right after taking over personnel control decisions?
 
The next variables are all about who Tampa wants at QB. Does Lovie want to develop a rookie with McCown as a stop gap? If so is Mariota his first choice? Maybe Winston or Hundley is more his style. Lovie migh also covet Foles instead. That blows my whole plan.
 
The final variable is about the fire power a #6 and #20 picks carry. I think they are enough to take a number 1. I have no question that Foles is worth a #6. He's experinced, he has the prototype build, cannon arm, AND Bowles was coaching in Philly when Foles was drafted, so he knows as an insider if he's a hard worker and has the intangibles required. The other important connection is Marty Mornhinweg and his association with Foles. He coached him as a rookie, and Foles was chosen specifically to fit his offense coming out of college. I'm not a big Marty fan, but if Bowles is hired I think he may retain him. With Foles at QB I would go for that.
 
I'd rather have a veteran guy if we have a defensive minded HC. Foles is not an established franchise QB, but there isn't one available on the market. Foles is the best we can get. And he has unlimited upside. I'd love to see Foles, Glennon and Smith as our QB's in 2015.

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