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Sunday, August 23, 2015
2 preseason games in the bag... and how to find a franchise QB
A lot has happened since my last post about Geno Smith. I have been saying for a while now that he is an Anti-Leader. Well, he proved it by doing something very un-QB-like and getting into a squabble with a guy in our locker room who obviously hits much harder than he does. Geno's jaw is broken and I couldn't be happier. I hope some other QB takes the reigns and he never gets his job back.
But I've wasted more than enough energy talking about this piece of garbage. On to the players who are actually on the field.
We have completed a few weeks of training camp and 2 preseason games.
The first preseason game was a disaster. Our defense looked lost and our offense looked like they had never played football before in their lives. Fitzpatrick is a simple dink & dunk, old, journeymen QB who is way past his prime. He was underwhelming in both games.
However, Bryce Petty, the guy I ranked as the 2nd best QB in this years draft actually showed some signs of life in game 2. He was shell shocked in the first game, and he openly admitted not being prepared mentally to play. He said that he was not nervous the week heading into the game, but when he ran out on the field for the first snap he panicked. Recognizing what had happened he prepared himself differently this week and promised he's be more poised. He certainly was.
I must say I was impressed. I felt 100% confident after watching him week 1 that he absolutely needed to sit his rookie season and learn. But after his performance week 2 vs. the Falcons I truly wonder if he can contribute this season. I have no issue with replicating what the Giants did in 04' with Eli. Let him sit and start the veteran the first 6 to 8 games of the season. If it looks like the playoffs are out of reach then throw Petty in there and lets see what he can do.
The only problem with this plan is Geno Smith. If Fitz is lackluster, which we can almost bank on, by the beginning of October Geno will be in there. And God forbid he actually show some signs of life. Then next year we will have a comp between Smith and Petty. We may also use a high draft pick on a QB. All of this is so illogical. There needs to be a systematic approach to evaluating QB's with the intent of establishing a franchise guy like Luck, Wilson, Rivers, Rodgers and so on.
This is how we should handle the QB situation for 2015. Fitz is told he starts the first 4 games no matter what. There needs to be a little stability for any starter. Give him 4 full games and see what he has left in the tank. If we are winning obviously we keep riding the beard for as long as we can. Most likely he will be unimpressive. So the next move is giving Geno 4 games. No matter what, let the guy show what he can do with these new weapons. I'm sure he will also struggle. He will have so much rust coming off a 6-8 week layoff. He's not prepared when he is actively playing, I can't imagine the train wreck he will be jumping in after 4 or 5 games. By mid-season, if we are below .500, we HAVE TO get Petty out on the field. If he shows the "magic" that is required to win in this league then we can dump Geno in the offseason and not waste a draft pick on a QB. Maybe instead we can get Petty a RT, HB and or WR with our 1st rounder.
On the other hand if Petty also looks horrid with 6 to 8 games to prove himself then we know that when the 2016 offseason starts we have one objective: Find a high quality starting QB via trade or the draft. The whole idea of evaluation is to have a clear picture of who you have at any given position. You must see players in REAL games to really know if they are a keeper. At any position besides QB it's pretty easy to rotate guys and see them in different scenarios. Our problem has been giving way too much time to guys like Sanchez and Smith who show that they can only be quality back ups. You have to keep churning through guys until a Russell Wilson type player emerges. Guys like Brady, Wilson, Favre, Montana and Romo were not 1st round draft picks. But, once they got a chance to start it was readily apparent that they had "it". WE NEED TO FIND A GUY WITH "IT". And there is no clear place to look, only a clear method.
Enough about QB, there were some other interesting stand out's during our first couple of preseason games. First I will mention Ivory, Powell and Stacy. PERFECT 3 headed monster. I see no way that Ridley makes this squad. I think Richardson goes back to the practice squad as insurance and we ride these 3 backs all season. Ivory is a grinder, Powell is explosive and doesn't need a lot of touches to get hot. he comes right off the bench and is ready. Stacy has outstanding vision and can drop his shoulder to get the extra 2 or 3 yards at the end of a run. Love these 3.
I am deeply disappointed by Jeremy Kerly. I have championed this guy since his rookie season and was thrilled he got a 4 year extension. Sadly he has turned into a guy who has lost his fire. He got paid and he doesn't want to compete anymore. He's been openly crying to the press because he is in a competition for the slot WR spot. He feels "he has already earned" that position. Another guy Rex ruined, just like Richardson. We have an exciting group of WR's in camp including a true #1, maybe the best #2 in the business, at least 3 high quality candidates for the slot and a early 2nd round pick who will be excellent at stretching the field if he ever gets on it. Kerly better wake up and smell the coffee.
Our 3rd round pick Mauldin looks a bit shaky. He is a high motor guy with size and strength, but his instincts are lacking. He over pursues on every play and usually ends up missing the tackle. Same for last years 1st round pick Calvin Pryor. This guy is almost too aggressive. I like Jarrett way more to start alongside Gilchrest. But it's hard to bench a 1st round pick in year 2 of their career.
Milliner is injured yet again. I think it's time to move on with him. Sadly our top 4 draft picks of the last 2 years could easily not be contributing when the regular season starts. We know that Sheldon. Dee and Geno are out, and Pryor could get benched. Very, very sad.
Something that is not sad is the play of Leonard Williams. My God, this kid is the real deal. If only he could throw the ball LOL
2015 is a new year. Patience is required. We understand that we are at least a year or two from being a contender. I just hope that Bowles and Mac last long enough to see their work through.
Tuesday, August 4, 2015
Geno Smith: it's starting to look like another year wasted
So I hate Geno Smith's guts with a deep seeded passion in my soul. And that's the nicest way I could put it. He's everything you don't want in a QB. Lazy, undedicated, (which both equal) inconsistent, and lacking the proper cognitive speed to perform at the NFL level. The game simply moves too fast for him.
However, as each summer day passes, and training camp also continues to grind away, it seems more and more like it's going to be another wasted year with this loser as "our guy". A guy who doesn't show up to a meeting the night before a game, a guy who flips off his own fans in his home stadium after he plays horrible and they boo him (how dare they), a guy with 30 starts under his belt as well as a losing record and a terrible TD to INT ratio and a career completion percentage in he mid 50's.
I can't figure out why the new regime would stick with a guy who would cost us very little to cut. Maybe they just couldn't make a move to improve this position. Maybe they did fight for Foles, maybe they did try to pry Rivers away from northern CA, maybe they did try to trade up for Winston. Or maybe not. Either way, Fitz looks like he's washed up so far in camp, and Petty is nowhere near ready to be a starter.
So since #7 is the best of what's around, why not focus on the few positives he brings to the table.
First and foremost he has a delusional view of himself. That's actually a pro when talking about a QB. Any guy who's going to step behind the center in this league and attempt to lead his team to victory has to believe he is the best player on the field. Even if Manning or Brady is on the other sideline that week, he has to see himself as the man. Geno has this.
He has made some boneheaded PR mistakes in his first couple of years, but when he speaks to the press after games he sounds like a relatively smart professional athlete. He says all the right things in those hard to navigate post game pressers. If you think that's so easy look at guys like RG III who cant get their foot out of their mouth.
He has a strong arm. Not top 5 in the league, but pretty damn strong. His accuracy and consistency is putrid, but he can toss the ball when he needs to.
His teammates seem to like him. Haven't heard a bad word that I can remember where anyone threw him under the bus. I would assume he's a decent locker room guy, and I doubt he struggles commanding the huddle.
He's durable. Couple of minor bumps and bruises, but nothing major. And I have seen him take some HUGE hits. He is built solid.
There's very little about his on the field game I can compliment, however there is one thing he does very well, and has done very well since his first start. He really knows when to tuck the ball and run and when to stand in the pocket and throw. I very rarely have seen him elect to become a runner on a play and not have it yield at least 5 or 6 yards. Most times its a first down. He also knows when the journey is over and gets out of bounds or slides most times. He's won us a few games because of this. It's very instinctive with him and should be developed (especially in the red zone). He's sneaky mobile, but he obvious sees himself as a passer first. That's perfect in the NFL.
Finally, his passer rating, completion percentage and TD to INT ratio all improved in year 2. Not much, but nonetheless they got better. A glimmer of hope? Not for this grizzly old Jets fan, but maybe you youngsters aren't totally jaded and can still dream.
Geno has an outstanding Offensive Coordinator, a Head Coach who will not make excuses for him or tolerate a lackadaisical approach, a GM who surrounded him with all the talent he could ask for, including the benefit of what will be a pretty formidable defense. A dominate D can help rescue a turnover prone QB from the abyss from time to time.
You are in a perfect situation Geno. The bright lights of the NFL's biggest media market are on you. Will you step up? Suck as much air as possible into those gigantic gaping nostrils and feed your brain with oxygen... Maybe then the light bulb will go off and you will not let the opportunity of a lifetime slip away.
However, as each summer day passes, and training camp also continues to grind away, it seems more and more like it's going to be another wasted year with this loser as "our guy". A guy who doesn't show up to a meeting the night before a game, a guy who flips off his own fans in his home stadium after he plays horrible and they boo him (how dare they), a guy with 30 starts under his belt as well as a losing record and a terrible TD to INT ratio and a career completion percentage in he mid 50's.
I can't figure out why the new regime would stick with a guy who would cost us very little to cut. Maybe they just couldn't make a move to improve this position. Maybe they did fight for Foles, maybe they did try to pry Rivers away from northern CA, maybe they did try to trade up for Winston. Or maybe not. Either way, Fitz looks like he's washed up so far in camp, and Petty is nowhere near ready to be a starter.
So since #7 is the best of what's around, why not focus on the few positives he brings to the table.
First and foremost he has a delusional view of himself. That's actually a pro when talking about a QB. Any guy who's going to step behind the center in this league and attempt to lead his team to victory has to believe he is the best player on the field. Even if Manning or Brady is on the other sideline that week, he has to see himself as the man. Geno has this.
He has made some boneheaded PR mistakes in his first couple of years, but when he speaks to the press after games he sounds like a relatively smart professional athlete. He says all the right things in those hard to navigate post game pressers. If you think that's so easy look at guys like RG III who cant get their foot out of their mouth.
He has a strong arm. Not top 5 in the league, but pretty damn strong. His accuracy and consistency is putrid, but he can toss the ball when he needs to.
His teammates seem to like him. Haven't heard a bad word that I can remember where anyone threw him under the bus. I would assume he's a decent locker room guy, and I doubt he struggles commanding the huddle.
He's durable. Couple of minor bumps and bruises, but nothing major. And I have seen him take some HUGE hits. He is built solid.
There's very little about his on the field game I can compliment, however there is one thing he does very well, and has done very well since his first start. He really knows when to tuck the ball and run and when to stand in the pocket and throw. I very rarely have seen him elect to become a runner on a play and not have it yield at least 5 or 6 yards. Most times its a first down. He also knows when the journey is over and gets out of bounds or slides most times. He's won us a few games because of this. It's very instinctive with him and should be developed (especially in the red zone). He's sneaky mobile, but he obvious sees himself as a passer first. That's perfect in the NFL.
Finally, his passer rating, completion percentage and TD to INT ratio all improved in year 2. Not much, but nonetheless they got better. A glimmer of hope? Not for this grizzly old Jets fan, but maybe you youngsters aren't totally jaded and can still dream.
Geno has an outstanding Offensive Coordinator, a Head Coach who will not make excuses for him or tolerate a lackadaisical approach, a GM who surrounded him with all the talent he could ask for, including the benefit of what will be a pretty formidable defense. A dominate D can help rescue a turnover prone QB from the abyss from time to time.
You are in a perfect situation Geno. The bright lights of the NFL's biggest media market are on you. Will you step up? Suck as much air as possible into those gigantic gaping nostrils and feed your brain with oxygen... Maybe then the light bulb will go off and you will not let the opportunity of a lifetime slip away.
Sunday, July 26, 2015
Parity in the NFL
I've always loved the NFL over any other sport and even college football because of how it's structured. Everything is about creating a level playing field. Look at last years final four. The media markets represented are very telling. Boston is an A- media market, Seattle is a B-, Indianapolis is a C and Green Bay????? They aren't rank-able. But all four had equal resources and cap money to spend. One of those 4 teams obviously had one unique advantage, but that's for another thread LOL
I've always believed that the talent gap between the team that wins the super bowl and the team with the worst record is very slight. Success or failure has a lot to do with how healthy your team was able to stay, how much chemistry they have and the quality of coaching. Another great part of the NFL's structure is the teams with the worst records get the top picks in the following draft. So we routinely see teams who are down and out back in the playoffs with a 1 or 2 year turn around.
That being said, this season looks like a true phenomenon. Usually by this time of year its easy to identify at least 4 or 5 teams that have no realistic chance of doing anything. Sadly many times in my 30 years as a Jets fan we have been one of those teams. But this year it's hard to find a team that I would bet my house on not making the playoffs. Lets break it down.
First we have elite teams. They have a franchise QB, a well rounded team and veteran, respected coaches. They are always in the playoff hunt.
Next are solid contenders. They have a franchise QB and are building around him. As well as a solid established coach.
So far that's nearly half the league. Next we have teams that have a young starter and are moving forward with him. They aren't in rebuild mode, they have just completed that and are ready to make a playoff run.
Next we have teams that don't have a franchise QB, and are definitely in rebuild mode. Playoffs don't look likely.
That leaves us with 2 teams that don't fit any category... and frankly could make a run only because they do have franchise QB's... unfortunately the rest of the players around them are terrible. This is rare, but with a genuine high quality QB they have a chance.
So if you truly examine this list we have only 6 teams out of 32 who don't have either an established franchise QB or a young highly drafted player poised to take that spot. And 2 of those 6 teams (Bears and Redskins) have guys who have had success in the past and could regain their previous form, making them immediate contenders.
I have only 6 teams who I would be comfortable betting on missing the post season. And any of those six could win the super bowl if only a QB were to emerge this season. The Jets and Bills especially are stacked roster wise at every position but QB. But lets not focus on the bottom of the list. The top 16 teams on this list all have a solid spot at playing in the big game this year. That's crazy.
I've always believed that the talent gap between the team that wins the super bowl and the team with the worst record is very slight. Success or failure has a lot to do with how healthy your team was able to stay, how much chemistry they have and the quality of coaching. Another great part of the NFL's structure is the teams with the worst records get the top picks in the following draft. So we routinely see teams who are down and out back in the playoffs with a 1 or 2 year turn around.
That being said, this season looks like a true phenomenon. Usually by this time of year its easy to identify at least 4 or 5 teams that have no realistic chance of doing anything. Sadly many times in my 30 years as a Jets fan we have been one of those teams. But this year it's hard to find a team that I would bet my house on not making the playoffs. Lets break it down.
First we have elite teams. They have a franchise QB, a well rounded team and veteran, respected coaches. They are always in the playoff hunt.
- Patriots
- Broncos
- Packers
- Ravens
- Seattle
Next are solid contenders. They have a franchise QB and are building around him. As well as a solid established coach.
- Cardinals
- Colts
- Lions
- Steelers
- Cowboys
- Giants
- Chargers
- Bengals
- Chiefs
So far that's nearly half the league. Next we have teams that have a young starter and are moving forward with him. They aren't in rebuild mode, they have just completed that and are ready to make a playoff run.
- Eagles
- Panthers
- Rams
- Raiders
- 49ers
- Jaguars
- Dolphins
- Vikings
- Bucs
- Titans
Next we have teams that don't have a franchise QB, and are definitely in rebuild mode. Playoffs don't look likely.
- Jets
- Bills
- Browns
- Texans
- Redskins
- Bears
That leaves us with 2 teams that don't fit any category... and frankly could make a run only because they do have franchise QB's... unfortunately the rest of the players around them are terrible. This is rare, but with a genuine high quality QB they have a chance.
- Falcons
- Saints
So if you truly examine this list we have only 6 teams out of 32 who don't have either an established franchise QB or a young highly drafted player poised to take that spot. And 2 of those 6 teams (Bears and Redskins) have guys who have had success in the past and could regain their previous form, making them immediate contenders.
I have only 6 teams who I would be comfortable betting on missing the post season. And any of those six could win the super bowl if only a QB were to emerge this season. The Jets and Bills especially are stacked roster wise at every position but QB. But lets not focus on the bottom of the list. The top 16 teams on this list all have a solid spot at playing in the big game this year. That's crazy.
Less than 1 week until training camp...
The New York Jets 2015 training camp kicks off in just a few days. This year, for the first time ever, camp will be held here in NJ. Hofstra and Cortland universities were the previous camp sites going back many years. These locations were just not a reality for me as a fan to attend. I have always visited Florham park and watched practices there. But they were few and far between. This year I will have a chance to see a lot more.
This is the time of year where we can take a long hard look at the roster and a picture of what our Jets will look like starts to come into focus. I will break down the strengths and weaknesses of this squad, but I will start with this disclaimer: I do not feel this roster is finished yet. I think there could still be a big move on the horizon over the next 2-3 weeks for Mac and Bowles. I am shocked they are going into camp with Geno Smith as the #1 QB. But I'll get deeper into that later.
I think our GM and brand spankin' new front office did a solid job this offseason. I would have done many things differently, but they were obviously focused on making this team as competitive as possible today. There doesn't seem to be much thought put into the years to come, but in 2015 we have a well rounded roster.
I personally disliked Mac's approach when it came to disregarding what Mr. T and Idzik did before him. He seemed to forget that we have guys like Milliner, McDougle, Coples, Richardson... Via free agency and the draft he spent big bucks and a very high draft pick addressing areas where we have young talent that we have drafted and want to develop.
With Cro, Meeeevis, and Busta Ryhmes its hard to see where our other young CB's fit in. With three 1st round DE's chosen in the previous 4 seasons I don't like the idea of taking Williams and then doing nothing with the others. I understand what a value Leonard was with the #6 overall pick, but we have serious needs in other positions. If you want the big man with that pick, off Wilkerson or Coples to pick up some more picks or maybe a veteran O-linemen, or even a pass rushing OLB (Coples never was and never will be a linebacker... he's a hand-in-the-dirt linemen).
But in the end Mac and Co. have a lot more insight than I do, so my faith is in them. Mainly because as fans we have no choice. Enough about the draft, lets examine who we have heading into camp.
I want to start with O-line. This is one area that Mac didn't seem to make a big priority. He signed the 6'5" 320+LB guard from Seattle James Carpenter. He's a B- veteran who has size but poor technique. However, he is a solid upgrade from Willie Colon (who is still on the roster for depth). We also have 2 other young guards in Brian Winters and Oday Aboushi. They both have started games and look like they could become solid starters. Between the four previously mentioned players I think we should be able to establish two B-/B+ level guards this season. I also doubt Colon makes the roster unless we take some major injuries on the O-line during camp.
That leaves us with D'Brick and Manbeast at LT and Center respectively, and a big, gaping hole at RT. Breno Giacomini is not a starting quality tackle in this league. I have no issues with him providing depth, but if he is our starter week one, our offense will struggle. That position is simply too important to the flow of the machine. Addressing this glaring need could be the "big move" I mentioned earlier that may be on the horizon. At least I hope so. As it stand today this O-line is not solid enough to make us competitive. I grade it as a C+, and I think you need a least a solid B+ to compete in the NFL.
Next I will look at the TE position. Gresham just signed with the Cards. And I cant, for the life of me, figure out why we passed on him as a free agent. Right now we have Amaro and Cumberland as our top 2 prospects with Kellen Davis as our #3. Davis has 50 receptions in his 8 year career, so obviously he's a blocking TE. In todays NFL you need 2 solid pass catchers at the TE position. We do not have that. Amaro is unproven and Cumberland is proven... sadly. We know what we have in him, and it's not much. Our hope here is that Jace starts to look like a 2nd round pick. O-line and TE are the 2 areas where Mac seemed to want to build on young talent that was in house. That's why I started there. Nick O'Leary was available to us in the draft and would have been an excellent compliment to Amaro. I am disappointed we passed on him multiple times. I grade these guys as a group as a B-, only because not many teams have great TE tandems.
Next I will jump into the CB spot. Lots of attention on this squad in 2014 when we were starting guys off the street each week, and even more attention during the offseason as we spent a boat load of guaranteed money on this position. I don't see how we move on from a guy like Milliner this quickly. With the moves Mac made it seems like he is doing just that. A top 10 pick, with the highest ceiling of any CB to come out in the draft in a decade, a guy Saban said has more upside than Patrick Peterson, and a guy who actually played well in Rex's very challenging 3-4 scheme at the end of his rookie year... is not a guy I think we dump, trade away for pennies on the dollar or bury on the depth chart. I never liked is fragile body, and didn't want him in the draft for that reason, but he's ours. I'll be damned if we trade him for a 4th or 5th rounder and watch him go to multiple pro bowls some where else. The Guy from the 2013 draft we should be moving on from plays QB for us, not CB. I really wanted to see what we have in McDougle, Walls and Dee... and I am not thrilled with the long term money that we gave to two CB's in their 30's, but in 2015 our secondary should be pretty damn solid. Unquestionably an A+ squad!
Next up is Safety. Wow, Gilchrest, Allen, Jarett and Pryor. None of them are A+ players, but as a whole, and combined with our corners, I love this squad. We can weather a few major injuries to our secondary and still field maybe the best group in the NFL. Wish we would have had all of these guys last year when we were playing Manning, Brady and Rodgers all in a row. Big question: does Pryor evolve into what we all hoped he would be? With Bowles as your HC, these safety's couldn't ask for much more. It's make or break time. I think our safety's are a B+ group that could become an A by seasons end because of Bowles and the benefit of playing with a great group of corners.
Lets dive into the LB position next. VERY interesting group. We lack a game changing outside pass rusher, but we do have a well rounded group of vets and young guys. Harris and Davis in the middle are a rock solid pair, especially now that Davis will become the every down ILB. At the OLB spots we have 3 interesting vets in Pace, Babin and Henderson. I think they are all past their primes and are just situational guys now, but Henderson could catch on if he can stay healthy. He had a couple of good years in Minnesota. I'll be keeping my eye on him. We also have Coples who is very one dimensional at LB and the rookie Lorenzo Mauldin. He has a great back story and is an inspirational kid, I just don't see him as a future starter. By far Mac's biggest reach of the draft. Our LB's as a whole grade out to a C+ IMHO.
Our D-line is stacked, but with the loss of Richardson we are one or two injuries away from a crisis up front... believe it or not. The Richardson suspension is interesting when you look at the draft. Is there a chance the Jets were tipped off regarding Sheldon's drug habit and saw this coming? I am NOT a fan of Richardson. I don't like is attitude. I will never root for this guy. But he is a rare specimen. This four game suspension may have saved the Jets millions of dollars when his contract is up. I hope so. As for Wilkerson's contract, I can care less. He's a solid DE, but he's not a megastar. He, however, does have a wining attitude and is a choir boy off the field. So I would invest some cash in him, but not 70 million. Big Snacks is my favorite D-linemen, and I hope he continues to grow at his position. This squad gets an A- because of the loss of Richardson for the first quarter of the season.
Ivory, Stacy, Ridley, Richardson, Powell and Bohanon.. Now that's a backfield. That's also the order in which I see their talent. I am a huge fan of Richardson and Stacy and I think either can be a 500+ yard back up, Ivory and Ridley are proven vets and Powell is the best back that nobody has ever heard of. 5 RB's and a FB is not realistic heading into week 1 of the regular season. I think Richardson heads back to our practice squad and Powell and Stacy fight it out for a roster spot. Outstanding depth here. If Ivory were to go down with a major injury one of these guys could become a 1,000 yard rusher in 2015 and a real fantasy football sleeper. A- backfield because there is no real megastar, but in todays NFL this is a great way to structure this squad.
That leaves QB and WR. Our 2015 WR corps is pretty damn intimidating. The Marshall trade was brilliant. If we get just one 1,200 yard 8 to 10 TD season from him its well worth the 5th round price. But the sum of it's parts is what's exciting about this group:
...and you have a defensive coordinator's nightmare. The problem with ensemble groups like this is when guys are asked to be something they are not. Like Decker playing #1 last year. Or moving a guy like Antonio Allen to outside CB. This is when things start to crumble. This WR group is very nicely settled into their roles. We also have young guys who are developmental like Hakim, Evans and Enunwa.... but sadly most of the 12 WR's we are bringing in camp will probably be cut by week 1. I think there is some real talent there, but we can only carry so many guys. This group gets an A from me.
As for the QB's, my opinion on Smith is well documented. I think he is lazy and has a bad attitude. He has the skills to be a wining QB, and he's probably bright enough, but 30 games is enough for me to know that he will never lead us anywhere but to mediocrity. I like the veteran trade for Fitz and the 4th round pick of Petty. Bryce has MAJOR upside, but in 2015 we simply don't have the guy. And sadly that's the whole ball game in todays league. QB group gets a D, and I am being kind.
That's why I am so critical of how Mac spent the money this offseason. We are at least 2 tears away from Petty developing into a high level QB. By then Revis and Cro will be sucking our cap dry and will be a shell of their former selves, not to mention Decker and Marshall will be all but done. I grade this team as a C- collectively mainly because of the QB situation. It's our worst group and the most important. If we had made a move for a guy like Foles I think we have an A- team which is easily top 8 in the league. But with Geno its 6-10 or 7-9 and back to the drawing board once again for Woody Johnson.
This is the time of year where we can take a long hard look at the roster and a picture of what our Jets will look like starts to come into focus. I will break down the strengths and weaknesses of this squad, but I will start with this disclaimer: I do not feel this roster is finished yet. I think there could still be a big move on the horizon over the next 2-3 weeks for Mac and Bowles. I am shocked they are going into camp with Geno Smith as the #1 QB. But I'll get deeper into that later.
I think our GM and brand spankin' new front office did a solid job this offseason. I would have done many things differently, but they were obviously focused on making this team as competitive as possible today. There doesn't seem to be much thought put into the years to come, but in 2015 we have a well rounded roster.
I personally disliked Mac's approach when it came to disregarding what Mr. T and Idzik did before him. He seemed to forget that we have guys like Milliner, McDougle, Coples, Richardson... Via free agency and the draft he spent big bucks and a very high draft pick addressing areas where we have young talent that we have drafted and want to develop.
With Cro, Meeeevis, and Busta Ryhmes its hard to see where our other young CB's fit in. With three 1st round DE's chosen in the previous 4 seasons I don't like the idea of taking Williams and then doing nothing with the others. I understand what a value Leonard was with the #6 overall pick, but we have serious needs in other positions. If you want the big man with that pick, off Wilkerson or Coples to pick up some more picks or maybe a veteran O-linemen, or even a pass rushing OLB (Coples never was and never will be a linebacker... he's a hand-in-the-dirt linemen).
But in the end Mac and Co. have a lot more insight than I do, so my faith is in them. Mainly because as fans we have no choice. Enough about the draft, lets examine who we have heading into camp.
I want to start with O-line. This is one area that Mac didn't seem to make a big priority. He signed the 6'5" 320+LB guard from Seattle James Carpenter. He's a B- veteran who has size but poor technique. However, he is a solid upgrade from Willie Colon (who is still on the roster for depth). We also have 2 other young guards in Brian Winters and Oday Aboushi. They both have started games and look like they could become solid starters. Between the four previously mentioned players I think we should be able to establish two B-/B+ level guards this season. I also doubt Colon makes the roster unless we take some major injuries on the O-line during camp.
That leaves us with D'Brick and Manbeast at LT and Center respectively, and a big, gaping hole at RT. Breno Giacomini is not a starting quality tackle in this league. I have no issues with him providing depth, but if he is our starter week one, our offense will struggle. That position is simply too important to the flow of the machine. Addressing this glaring need could be the "big move" I mentioned earlier that may be on the horizon. At least I hope so. As it stand today this O-line is not solid enough to make us competitive. I grade it as a C+, and I think you need a least a solid B+ to compete in the NFL.
Next I will look at the TE position. Gresham just signed with the Cards. And I cant, for the life of me, figure out why we passed on him as a free agent. Right now we have Amaro and Cumberland as our top 2 prospects with Kellen Davis as our #3. Davis has 50 receptions in his 8 year career, so obviously he's a blocking TE. In todays NFL you need 2 solid pass catchers at the TE position. We do not have that. Amaro is unproven and Cumberland is proven... sadly. We know what we have in him, and it's not much. Our hope here is that Jace starts to look like a 2nd round pick. O-line and TE are the 2 areas where Mac seemed to want to build on young talent that was in house. That's why I started there. Nick O'Leary was available to us in the draft and would have been an excellent compliment to Amaro. I am disappointed we passed on him multiple times. I grade these guys as a group as a B-, only because not many teams have great TE tandems.
Next I will jump into the CB spot. Lots of attention on this squad in 2014 when we were starting guys off the street each week, and even more attention during the offseason as we spent a boat load of guaranteed money on this position. I don't see how we move on from a guy like Milliner this quickly. With the moves Mac made it seems like he is doing just that. A top 10 pick, with the highest ceiling of any CB to come out in the draft in a decade, a guy Saban said has more upside than Patrick Peterson, and a guy who actually played well in Rex's very challenging 3-4 scheme at the end of his rookie year... is not a guy I think we dump, trade away for pennies on the dollar or bury on the depth chart. I never liked is fragile body, and didn't want him in the draft for that reason, but he's ours. I'll be damned if we trade him for a 4th or 5th rounder and watch him go to multiple pro bowls some where else. The Guy from the 2013 draft we should be moving on from plays QB for us, not CB. I really wanted to see what we have in McDougle, Walls and Dee... and I am not thrilled with the long term money that we gave to two CB's in their 30's, but in 2015 our secondary should be pretty damn solid. Unquestionably an A+ squad!
Next up is Safety. Wow, Gilchrest, Allen, Jarett and Pryor. None of them are A+ players, but as a whole, and combined with our corners, I love this squad. We can weather a few major injuries to our secondary and still field maybe the best group in the NFL. Wish we would have had all of these guys last year when we were playing Manning, Brady and Rodgers all in a row. Big question: does Pryor evolve into what we all hoped he would be? With Bowles as your HC, these safety's couldn't ask for much more. It's make or break time. I think our safety's are a B+ group that could become an A by seasons end because of Bowles and the benefit of playing with a great group of corners.
Lets dive into the LB position next. VERY interesting group. We lack a game changing outside pass rusher, but we do have a well rounded group of vets and young guys. Harris and Davis in the middle are a rock solid pair, especially now that Davis will become the every down ILB. At the OLB spots we have 3 interesting vets in Pace, Babin and Henderson. I think they are all past their primes and are just situational guys now, but Henderson could catch on if he can stay healthy. He had a couple of good years in Minnesota. I'll be keeping my eye on him. We also have Coples who is very one dimensional at LB and the rookie Lorenzo Mauldin. He has a great back story and is an inspirational kid, I just don't see him as a future starter. By far Mac's biggest reach of the draft. Our LB's as a whole grade out to a C+ IMHO.
Our D-line is stacked, but with the loss of Richardson we are one or two injuries away from a crisis up front... believe it or not. The Richardson suspension is interesting when you look at the draft. Is there a chance the Jets were tipped off regarding Sheldon's drug habit and saw this coming? I am NOT a fan of Richardson. I don't like is attitude. I will never root for this guy. But he is a rare specimen. This four game suspension may have saved the Jets millions of dollars when his contract is up. I hope so. As for Wilkerson's contract, I can care less. He's a solid DE, but he's not a megastar. He, however, does have a wining attitude and is a choir boy off the field. So I would invest some cash in him, but not 70 million. Big Snacks is my favorite D-linemen, and I hope he continues to grow at his position. This squad gets an A- because of the loss of Richardson for the first quarter of the season.
Ivory, Stacy, Ridley, Richardson, Powell and Bohanon.. Now that's a backfield. That's also the order in which I see their talent. I am a huge fan of Richardson and Stacy and I think either can be a 500+ yard back up, Ivory and Ridley are proven vets and Powell is the best back that nobody has ever heard of. 5 RB's and a FB is not realistic heading into week 1 of the regular season. I think Richardson heads back to our practice squad and Powell and Stacy fight it out for a roster spot. Outstanding depth here. If Ivory were to go down with a major injury one of these guys could become a 1,000 yard rusher in 2015 and a real fantasy football sleeper. A- backfield because there is no real megastar, but in todays NFL this is a great way to structure this squad.
That leaves QB and WR. Our 2015 WR corps is pretty damn intimidating. The Marshall trade was brilliant. If we get just one 1,200 yard 8 to 10 TD season from him its well worth the 5th round price. But the sum of it's parts is what's exciting about this group:
- A true, big, game changing, clutch, savvy #1 WR,
- combined with the best true #2 in the business,
- add in a fearless, prototype slot WR known as Mr. 3rd down,
- and a lightning fast 2nd round draft pick
...and you have a defensive coordinator's nightmare. The problem with ensemble groups like this is when guys are asked to be something they are not. Like Decker playing #1 last year. Or moving a guy like Antonio Allen to outside CB. This is when things start to crumble. This WR group is very nicely settled into their roles. We also have young guys who are developmental like Hakim, Evans and Enunwa.... but sadly most of the 12 WR's we are bringing in camp will probably be cut by week 1. I think there is some real talent there, but we can only carry so many guys. This group gets an A from me.
As for the QB's, my opinion on Smith is well documented. I think he is lazy and has a bad attitude. He has the skills to be a wining QB, and he's probably bright enough, but 30 games is enough for me to know that he will never lead us anywhere but to mediocrity. I like the veteran trade for Fitz and the 4th round pick of Petty. Bryce has MAJOR upside, but in 2015 we simply don't have the guy. And sadly that's the whole ball game in todays league. QB group gets a D, and I am being kind.
That's why I am so critical of how Mac spent the money this offseason. We are at least 2 tears away from Petty developing into a high level QB. By then Revis and Cro will be sucking our cap dry and will be a shell of their former selves, not to mention Decker and Marshall will be all but done. I grade this team as a C- collectively mainly because of the QB situation. It's our worst group and the most important. If we had made a move for a guy like Foles I think we have an A- team which is easily top 8 in the league. But with Geno its 6-10 or 7-9 and back to the drawing board once again for Woody Johnson.
Friday, May 22, 2015
Guys who I can root for...
I have been pretty disgusted with a lot of the guys on our current roster and the rosters of the past 3 or 4 seasons. I suffered through guys like Santonio Holmes who make you wonder why anyone would ever pay to buy a jersey with the name and number of a selfish diva. To be clear, I'm not referring to guys who were injury prone, didn't live up to expectations or who were wildly inconsistent.
This thread is about attitude and personality. To some fans it means nothing. They simply want the players to show up and play hard on Sunday, and I get it. But for me as a fan who lives and dies with this team, who truly bleeds green, the public persona of these players matters to me. I don't just root for a player because they are on the roster. I also don't, for a minute, think I know who they really are as people. I just know their aforementioned public personas. It matters to me because everyone I know associates me with the Jets and these players represent what this organization is all about.
One of my all time favorite players was Chad Pennington. I loved his intangibles and I could really root for this guy. He was a polarizing figure in Jet land, and I admit that I wasn't reasonable regarding the fact he was never going to get us to the promise land. He was limited physically in too many ways. But only hindsight has shown me that. When he was on our roster I had 100% faith in him.
Our current team, led by a self obsessed, immature overrated DE like Richardson who can't stop mouthing off on social media and an undedicated, lazy QB who flips off his own fans in his home stadium is hard to root for in general. These guys have done nothing since 2010 that has inspired me personally. But, instead of focusing on them I wanted to shout out a few players who's passion for the game is displayed ever time they step on the field, and who I can truly say I am a fan of.
This list has gotten shorter and shorter over the years. Parcells squads in the late 90's had a host of players who were root worthy. Our 2004 squad was overflowing with guys I was excited to see play and truly rooted for as individuals. Not so much today, it's a much shorter list.
Demario Davis. Loved him as a draft pick, high motor, loves contact and violence, fast, smart... and he was one of the few players who called out Rex and his teammates last season when the loses started to pile up in 2014. He's a winner and I am excited to see him take David Harris's job this season as an every down ILB.
Chris Ivory. He's pretty quiet off the field but his voice is heard when he's on it. He plays hard, works hard and combines speed vision and pure power. I love power backs like him who can find another gear when they see some daylight. This guy embodies the approach of "shut up and do your job". Very few players like that on this squad.
Jeremy Kerley. Even watching this guy at practice is exciting. His route tree is elite, not afraid to go over the middle and he has earned his nickname Mr. 3rd down. He suffered some weird decline at the end of the 2014 season that coincided with his getting a nice contract extension. I hope that was some weird fluke. High hopes for him in 2015.
Eric Decker. Another guy who practices hard. He's a guy you can be proud of as a fan. Great representation of what you want on and off the field. And the hot wife doesn't hurt his image at all.
Nick Mangold. Is there any dude you would want to have a beer with more than Nick? His consistent dominant play is obviously why Jet fans love him, but I am confident he adds a lot of chemistry to the locker room. He's funny and now he's a savvy vet who I am sure commands the respect of every player on the team. There have been a lot of highs and lows since he was drafted in 2006. But this guy has been a source of pride for Jets fans since the day he became a Jet. I'd rank him a top 5 draft pick in our teams history.
Finally... Brandon Marshall. If you told me 4 years ago that I would have this guy on my list I would have laughed so hard I'd piss my pants. But this guy has courageously found help, turned his life around, become a role model and a leader. I am truly inspired by his transformation. He's a game changer on the field and hyper competitive. He survived that epic collapse in Chicago last year with out losing it and saying anything too stupid. I also love him calling out Revis and Cro on twitter before OTA's this past week. Healthy competition breeds success. He will be a big help with getting this roster to bond with one another. I am proud that he is a Jet.
My top 5 players who I can't stand based on attitude are Geno (not committed), Richardson (ignorant child), Milliner (delusional), Revis (selfish disloyal douche), and David Harris.
Harris is a good guy on and off the field and has been pretty underrated as a top ILB throughout his career. The reason I don't root for hi is because he is simply not a leader. The Jets have needed a vocal leader at his position since he was drafted. he's done us a disservice by being as quiet as a mouse. I admire his production and durability, but this is the one guy who we don't need to shut up, and instead w e have a mime as the QB of our defense for the past 8 years.
Sunday, May 17, 2015
Roger and Robert sitting in a tree.... K I S S I N G
- Everyone on earth, including Patriots fans, know that Belichick is a low life that will break any rule to win.
- Everyone on earth knows that all coaches and players bend rules and stretch them wherever they can.
- Everyone on earth knows that no equipment guys would ever do anything like this without being told to.
That being said... No team has every won a Super Bowl without
- Having some serious luck fall their way
- Cutting corners and cheating
Example:
Bill Walsh once told the officials his headphones weren't working during a home playoff game vs. Parcells. By rule the Giants had to shut their headphones off. This was an advantage because it was at the start of the game and the 49ers scripted their first 15 plays. So they didn't need to communicate. Once the 15 plays were up miraculously their electronics started working again. Parcells warned Walsh the next year that if he pulled that sh*t again he would expose him.
Everyone does it. HOWEVER, when you get caught you have to pay the piper. When you get caught TWICE, (spy gate/deflate gate) you start at the top and crack heads. We've been down this road already once with the Pats. They violated league rules by signing Belichick when he was under contract with us, they were caught in spygate and the evidence was destroyed, now they broke the rules again in the second biggest game of the year, which tainted the Super Bowl ....
If you look at what happened with the Saints and bounty gate, anything short of Brady and Belichick being suspended for the entire 2015 season is clear favoritism.
The owner is a proven cheater going back to stealing Belichcik. The head coach as been fined $500,000 for cheating. Even a 5 year old can tell that Brady is lying. It's time to send a message to their organization, and more importantly to fans that this is not professional wrestling... It's a real sport and when cheaters are caught the penalties will make other teams think twice about how far they will go to tip the tables in their favor and cheat all of us.
I would not be as upset if it wasn't for Krafts response into all of this. He knows he is above the rules and he has gotten to the point that he flaunts it. My only hope is that he ends up dating some skank that audio tapes him saying something racist so he can be forced out of this league.
Folks, Robert Kraft drew up that punishment himself. He's not mad. If anything he's closer with his piss boy Goodell.
He told Rodger:
- I am only giving up Brady for 2 games, so suspend him for 4 and we will appeal.
- I will save about $900,000 by not paying Brady for 2 games so fine me $1,000,000
- We know who we want to draft this year and our board is set, so hold the "investigation" off until 3 days after the draft ends so I won't lose our 1st rounder in 2015.
- And make sure my coach receives absolutely zero consequences. Even though you ass raped Payton in New Orleans.
- Let's make sure we tell the press how upset I am and how we hate each other. That will seal the deal.
And that's exactly what happened!
Ted Wells complained about how this organization didn't cooperate and how the ball boys weren't made available for follow up interviews. SO WHY DID IT TAKE OVER 100 DAYS TO RELEASE this report ?? All that time to check some god damn text messages and say "we think they did it on purpose"????
At this point the WWE is more legitimate than this league.
In any other league, or if any other NFL team was caught cheating during a post season run the guilty team would be forced to vacate their title and involved parties banned. Imagine if this was the Jets for a second. Any chance we get this treatment?
Brady should be the Pete Rose of the NFL.
Instead he will be a first ballot HOF'er. Ridiculous.
Sunday, May 3, 2015
Macc's 1st draft is in the books...
The New York Jets selected 6 players in this years draft. We also traded our original 5th round pick for Brandon Marshall a couple of months ago, and traded our 7th round pick, which was originally traded to Houston for Ryan Fitzpatrick (and later traded back to us along with a 3rd round swap and WR DeVier Posey) to move up in the 4th round to get a QB. We traded another 7th rounder for disgruntled RB Zac Stacy from St. Louis. So we netted 9 players from our 2015 draft picks.
My first overall impression of our new GM and front office is that they performed in a savvy way for a bunch of rookies. Their 2 big highlights were taking the 2nd best player in the draft with the #6 overall pick, even though we have an embarrassment of riches at that position already, and 2nd... trading up one position to box out the Browns and land Bryce Petty in the 4th round. They preached for weeks that they would go best player available in this draft and not reach for players because of need. Its an old school philosophy that takes discipline.
Landing a top 2 talent with the 6th pick is a sick value. It also creates a culture of competition. Richardson, Wilkerson and Coples are confident guys, but when they saw that pick each one of them didn't think about where they want to vacation during the bye week, they thought about what they ate for dinner that night and making sure to hit the gym the next morning. The new leadership has no ties to any of those guys, and if they want to stay starters they are going to have to work. Hard.
Our 2nd pick was speedster Devin Smith from Ohio State. he's a Desean Jackson clone, and he s exactly what we were missing in our WR corps. He was a 1st round graded player we picked in the second. I would have taken Green-Beckham, but I didn't spend months vetting him like our front office did. He is one of the best game changers in the draft, but he is a mess off the field. They obviously passed because they were not trying to take any head cases, at least not in their first draft. One thing that stands out about this draft class is character and effort.
Round 3 was the one blunder of the draft for Macc. He traded out #6 pick in the 3rd with the Texans and moved down 12 spots. We essentially gained an additional 5th round pick. By moving down 12 spots we missed out on Duke Johnson and Eli Harold. Two guys who would have been outstanding fits for us based on value, BPA and need. These were 2nd round talents who slipped a bit.
Instead we took Lorenzo Mauldin. He's a 3/4 LB with nice size and great character. I saw someone of the net write "if this was a guidance counselor draft he'd be a great pick." LMAO. I like the kids back story, he overcame a lot to make it to the NFL. I'll be rooting for him, but he has a lot to learn and he's slow. This pick was unquestionably a reach. I think he was more of a mid 4th/ early 5th round talent. Mid 3rd was too early.
However, I reserved judgment until I saw what Macc would d with the additional 5th rounder we picked up. I'll get to that after I touch on our 4th round pick. Macc traded up one spot in the 4th with Jacksonville to essentially box out the Browns from taking Bryce Petty. Petty was the 5th QB taken in this draft but I think he is the 2nd best QB prospect that was available. So, I like the player and how we landed him. Macc used the 7th rounder that we gained via the 3rd round swap with Houston. Well played. More about Petty later.
Our 5th round pick we acquired from the Texans yielded us a fat lazy Guard named Jarvis Harrison. He is big, strong and aggressive. he should have been a late 2nd round pick. Sadly most other teams understand that guys don't outgrow lazy. Lazy zebras don't change their stripes. This guy was a reach and not a high effort, high character guy like the other players we took.
2 picks before we went in the 5th Jay Ajayi went to the Dolphins. One of my favorite players in the is whole draft went to Miami. Very disappointing. Guys like Nick O'Leary and Kyle Emmanuel were still on the board, and we went with Harrison. In retrospect I wish we would have just stayed put in the 3rd and taken Harold. Oh well...
Finally we take the athletic nose tackle Deion Simon in the 7th. Don't know much about him besides he's big. I have to wonder if he makes the roster considering the players we already have on our D-line.
We also acquired Marshall, Stacy and Posey as I mentioned earlier via trades involving our other 2015 draft picks.
I'd give this draft a B-, with the potential of being upgraded to an A+ depending on how many of these picks become starters. We know Marshall is an automatic starter at WR. It's hard to see how Williams isn't a starter for a long time for us. Smith will have time to move up to a #1 or #2 WR as he plays behind Decker and Marshall for the next 2 years. I don't see him starting anytime soon. The big question marks are Stacy, Mauldin, and Jarvis Harrison.
If one of those 3 steps up in 2015 and becomes a solid starter this draft is a huge win for Macc and Co. If guys like Smith, Stacy and Mauldin become solid role players this is also a good first outing for our front office. But... if all we really net is Marshall as our #1 WR and Williams transplants Wilkerson and we end up trading Mo, it's hard to see how these 9 players made us a better team.
For the record my draft would have played out like this....
Round 1- OT Flowers
Round 2- WR Green-Beckham
Round 3- OLB Eli Harold
(No Houston Trade)
Round 4- QB Petty
Round 7- Trade for Stacy
Round 7- Used to move up for Petty
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